Tuesday 25 August 2026 · everything below is a stored value, as it was that morning
| What the model saw | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
Where they stand | ||
| League position | 6 | 4 |
| Position last season | 9 | 5 |
| Points this season | 1 | 3 |
| Goal difference this season | +0 | +1 |
| Elo rating going in | 1,623 | 1,698 |
| Matches on record, all seasons | 609 | 533 |
Recent form | ||
| Points, last 5 | 11 | 10 |
| Goals scored, last 5 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded, last 5 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals scored, last 10 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded, last 10 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets, last 10 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score, last 10 | 3 | 1 |
| Wins in a row | 0 | 2 |
| Unbeaten run | 5 | 2 |
| Losses in a row | 0 | 0 |
| Days since last match | 3 | 4 |
Home and away separately | ||
| Scored at home, last 5 there | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Conceded at home, last 5 there | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Scored away, last 5 there | — | — |
| Conceded away, last 5 there | — | — |
Attack — how chances are created | ||
| Shots, last 5 | 11.8 | 14.6 |
| Shots on target, last 5 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| Shots per possession | 0.326 | 0.274 |
| On-target shots per possession | 0.099 | 0.103 |
| Inside-box shots per possession | 0.207 | 0.145 |
| Share of shots from inside the box | 61.8% | 50.3% |
| Expected goals, last 5 | 1.14 | 1.46 |
| Possession, last 5 | 42.2% | 45.8% |
| Corners, last 5 | 4.0 | 4.6 |
Defence — what they allow | ||
| Shots allowed per possession | 0.197 | 0.248 |
| On-target allowed per possession | 0.072 | 0.095 |
| Inside-box allowed per possession | 0.135 | 0.151 |
| Opponents' inside-box share | 69.9% | 60.6% |
| Save rate | 70.0% | 74.1% |
| Saves, last 5 | 2.6 | 4.0 |
| Expected goals conceded, last 5 | 1.08 | 1.52 |
On the ball and discipline | ||
| Pass accuracy | 79.6% | 85.6% |
| Passes, last 5 | 378 | 454 |
| Fouls, last 5 | 11.0 | 10.6 |
| Cards, last 5 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
Previous meetings | ||
| Meetings on record | 28 | |
| Home side won | 9 | |
| Drawn | 7 | |
| Away side won | 12 | |
| Goals, home side | 44 | |
| Goals, away side | 40 | |