Wednesday 26 August 2026 · everything below is a stored value, as it was that morning
| What the model saw | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
Where they stand | ||
| League position | 5 | 11 |
| Position last season | 2 | 10 |
| Points this season | 3 | 0 |
| Goal difference this season | +1 | -1 |
| Elo rating going in | 1,848 | 1,592 |
| Matches on record, all seasons | 609 | 609 |
Recent form | ||
| Points, last 5 | 12 | 3 |
| Goals scored, last 5 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded, last 5 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals scored, last 10 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded, last 10 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets, last 10 | 3 | 1 |
| Failed to score, last 10 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins in a row | 4 | 0 |
| Unbeaten run | 4 | 0 |
| Losses in a row | 0 | 1 |
| Days since last match | 4 | 5 |
Home and away separately | ||
| Scored at home, last 5 there | — | — |
| Conceded at home, last 5 there | — | — |
| Scored away, last 5 there | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Conceded away, last 5 there | 0.8 | 1.4 |
Attack — how chances are created | ||
| Shots, last 5 | 11.6 | 9.2 |
| Shots on target, last 5 | 4.4 | 3.6 |
| Shots per possession | 0.241 | 0.200 |
| On-target shots per possession | 0.095 | 0.074 |
| Inside-box shots per possession | 0.175 | 0.128 |
| Share of shots from inside the box | 74.8% | 64.0% |
| Expected goals, last 5 | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| Possession, last 5 | 61.2% | 52.4% |
| Corners, last 5 | 4.5 | 4.0 |
Defence — what they allow | ||
| Shots allowed per possession | 0.302 | 0.336 |
| On-target allowed per possession | 0.083 | 0.109 |
| Inside-box allowed per possession | 0.193 | 0.185 |
| Opponents' inside-box share | 64.7% | 54.6% |
| Save rate | 69.8% | 71.4% |
| Saves, last 5 | 2.6 | 4.6 |
| Expected goals conceded, last 5 | 0.81 | 1.84 |
On the ball and discipline | ||
| Pass accuracy | 90.8% | 84.6% |
| Passes, last 5 | 506 | 482 |
| Fouls, last 5 | 7.0 | 14.6 |
| Cards, last 5 | 1.4 | 3.8 |
Previous meetings | ||
| Meetings on record | 32 | |
| Home side won | 24 | |
| Drawn | 4 | |
| Away side won | 4 | |
| Goals, home side | 78 | |
| Goals, away side | 33 | |