Thursday 27 August 2026 · everything below is a stored value, as it was that morning
| What the model saw | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
Where they stand | ||
| League position | 6 | 10 |
| Position last season | 6 | 16 |
| Points this season | 1 | 1 |
| Goal difference this season | +0 | +0 |
| Elo rating going in | 1,639 | 1,571 |
| Matches on record, all seasons | 533 | 541 |
Recent form | ||
| Points, last 5 | 8 | 1 |
| Goals scored, last 5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded, last 5 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals scored, last 10 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded, last 10 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets, last 10 | 3 | 1 |
| Failed to score, last 10 | 3 | 3 |
| Wins in a row | 0 | 0 |
| Unbeaten run | 3 | 1 |
| Losses in a row | 0 | 0 |
| Days since last match | 5 | 3 |
Home and away separately | ||
| Scored at home, last 5 there | — | 1.0 |
| Conceded at home, last 5 there | — | 1.4 |
| Scored away, last 5 there | 0.6 | — |
| Conceded away, last 5 there | 0.8 | — |
Attack — how chances are created | ||
| Shots, last 5 | 7.2 | 15.0 |
| Shots on target, last 5 | 3.0 | 5.6 |
| Shots per possession | 0.147 | 0.245 |
| On-target shots per possession | 0.071 | 0.102 |
| Inside-box shots per possession | 0.100 | 0.162 |
| Share of shots from inside the box | 62.8% | 64.3% |
| Expected goals, last 5 | 0.94 | 1.17 |
| Possession, last 5 | 50.8% | 50.6% |
| Corners, last 5 | 2.0 | 6.2 |
Defence — what they allow | ||
| Shots allowed per possession | 0.275 | 0.231 |
| On-target allowed per possession | 0.090 | 0.080 |
| Inside-box allowed per possession | 0.179 | 0.128 |
| Opponents' inside-box share | 63.4% | 53.7% |
| Save rate | 70.9% | 67.8% |
| Saves, last 5 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| Expected goals conceded, last 5 | 1.51 | 1.42 |
On the ball and discipline | ||
| Pass accuracy | 86.2% | 77.4% |
| Passes, last 5 | 518 | 365 |
| Fouls, last 5 | 11.8 | 13.4 |
| Cards, last 5 | 1.6 | 2.4 |
Previous meetings | ||
| Meetings on record | 20 | |
| Home side won | 8 | |
| Drawn | 5 | |
| Away side won | 7 | |
| Goals, home side | 25 | |
| Goals, away side | 19 | |
| What the model saw | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
Where they stand | ||
| League position | 4 | 12 |
| Position last season | 1 | 12 |
| Points this season | 3 | 0 |
| Goal difference this season | +5 | -2 |
| Elo rating going in | 1,881 | 1,604 |
| Matches on record, all seasons | 609 | 609 |
Recent form | ||
| Points, last 5 | 9 | 1 |
| Goals scored, last 5 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded, last 5 | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals scored, last 10 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded, last 10 | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets, last 10 | 4 | 1 |
| Failed to score, last 10 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins in a row | 1 | 0 |
| Unbeaten run | 1 | 0 |
| Losses in a row | 0 | 2 |
| Days since last match | 4 | 5 |
Home and away separately | ||
| Scored at home, last 5 there | — | 0.8 |
| Conceded at home, last 5 there | — | 1.4 |
| Scored away, last 5 there | 2.0 | — |
| Conceded away, last 5 there | 1.0 | — |
Attack — how chances are created | ||
| Shots, last 5 | 11.0 | 15.6 |
| Shots on target, last 5 | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| Shots per possession | 0.198 | 0.261 |
| On-target shots per possession | 0.086 | 0.086 |
| Inside-box shots per possession | 0.148 | 0.182 |
| Share of shots from inside the box | 73.6% | 70.8% |
| Expected goals, last 5 | 1.67 | 1.26 |
| Possession, last 5 | 65.4% | 48.2% |
| Corners, last 5 | 4.6 | 7.6 |
Defence — what they allow | ||
| Shots allowed per possession | 0.294 | 0.179 |
| On-target allowed per possession | 0.086 | 0.096 |
| Inside-box allowed per possession | 0.214 | 0.125 |
| Opponents' inside-box share | 71.8% | 67.1% |
| Save rate | 72.6% | 61.0% |
| Saves, last 5 | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| Expected goals conceded, last 5 | 0.94 | 0.88 |
On the ball and discipline | ||
| Pass accuracy | 90.0% | 76.2% |
| Passes, last 5 | 626 | 397 |
| Fouls, last 5 | 10.6 | 13.6 |
| Cards, last 5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Previous meetings | ||
| Meetings on record | 32 | |
| Home side won | 24 | |
| Drawn | 6 | |
| Away side won | 2 | |
| Goals, home side | 68 | |
| Goals, away side | 18 | |