The data behind the ratings

Friday 2 October 2026 · everything below is a stored value, as it was that morning

Eldense v Oviedo

laliga-2 · 18:30 UK
Finished 4–1. Everything below is what was known that morning, before the match.
What the model sawHomeAway
Where they stand
League position198
Position last season—20
Points this season511
Goal difference this season-5+3
Elo rating going in1,3881,508
Matches on record, all seasons91431
Recent form
Points, last 5410
Goals scored, last 50.41.4
Goals conceded, last 50.80.6
Goals scored, last 101.00.7
Goals conceded, last 101.61.0
Clean sheets, last 1025
Failed to score, last 1046
Wins in a row01
Unbeaten run01
Losses in a row20
Days since last match55
Home and away separately
Scored at home, last 5 there—0.4
Conceded at home, last 5 there—0.4
Scored away, last 5 there0.6—
Conceded away, last 5 there1.6—
Attack — how chances are created
Shots, last 513.413.4
Shots on target, last 53.84.2
Shots per possession0.2630.259
On-target shots per possession0.0870.065
Inside-box shots per possession0.1440.159
Share of shots from inside the box53.3%58.8%
Expected goals, last 5——
Possession, last 550.4%44.2%
Corners, last 56.24.6
Defence — what they allow
Shots allowed per possession0.1980.255
On-target allowed per possession0.0860.070
Inside-box allowed per possession0.1410.152
Opponents' inside-box share72.0%59.0%
Save rate69.7%70.3%
Saves, last 53.42.4
Expected goals conceded, last 5——
On the ball and discipline
Pass accuracy81.0%76.0%
Passes, last 5441366
Fouls, last 511.89.6
Cards, last 51.63.0
Previous meetings
Meetings on record4
Home side won0
Drawn3
Away side won1
Goals, home side3
Goals, away side5
The bookmakers' price is shown for comparison and is not something the model sees. It is deliberately kept out of training so "does the model beat the market" stays an answerable question. Home 35.4% · Draw 31.6% · Away 33.1% — pinnacle, pre_match.