Thursday 15 October 2026 · everything below is a stored value, as it was that morning
| What the model saw | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
Where they stand | ||
| League position | 14 | 4 |
| Position last season | 10 | 23 |
| Points this season | 11 | 14 |
| Goal difference this season | -2 | +7 |
| Elo rating going in | 1,417 | 1,474 |
| Matches on record, all seasons | 100 | 464 |
Recent form | ||
| Points, last 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Goals scored, last 5 | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded, last 5 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals scored, last 10 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded, last 10 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets, last 10 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score, last 10 | 4 | 2 |
| Wins in a row | 1 | 1 |
| Unbeaten run | 3 | 4 |
| Losses in a row | 0 | 0 |
| Days since last match | 5 | 5 |
Home and away separately | ||
| Scored at home, last 5 there | 2.8 | — |
| Conceded at home, last 5 there | 1.6 | — |
| Scored away, last 5 there | — | 1.8 |
| Conceded away, last 5 there | — | 1.4 |
Attack — how chances are created | ||
| Shots, last 5 | 12.2 | 11.5 |
| Shots on target, last 5 | 3.6 | 5.2 |
| Shots per possession | 0.295 | 0.260 |
| On-target shots per possession | 0.110 | 0.102 |
| Inside-box shots per possession | 0.205 | 0.157 |
| Share of shots from inside the box | 69.2% | 60.6% |
| Expected goals, last 5 | 2.42 | 1.25 |
| Possession, last 5 | 49.8% | 55.0% |
| Corners, last 5 | 3.8 | 4.0 |
Defence — what they allow | ||
| Shots allowed per possession | 0.245 | 0.270 |
| On-target allowed per possession | 0.084 | 0.075 |
| Inside-box allowed per possession | 0.161 | 0.187 |
| Opponents' inside-box share | 65.6% | 66.9% |
| Save rate | 61.8% | 66.0% |
| Saves, last 5 | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| Expected goals conceded, last 5 | 0.95 | 0.71 |
On the ball and discipline | ||
| Pass accuracy | — | — |
| Passes, last 5 | 365 | 416 |
| Fouls, last 5 | 14.4 | 13.0 |
| Cards, last 5 | 2.4 | 1.2 |