Thursday 29 October 2026 · everything below is a stored value, as it was that morning
| What the model saw | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
Where they stand | ||
| League position | 6 | 12 |
| Position last season | — | 17 |
| Points this season | 14 | 9 |
| Goal difference this season | +4 | -5 |
| Elo rating going in | 1,516 | 1,529 |
| Matches on record, all seasons | 122 | 274 |
Recent form | ||
| Points, last 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals scored, last 5 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded, last 5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals scored, last 10 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded, last 10 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets, last 10 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score, last 10 | 3 | 4 |
| Wins in a row | 0 | 0 |
| Unbeaten run | 2 | 0 |
| Losses in a row | 0 | 1 |
| Days since last match | 4 | 4 |
Home and away separately | ||
| Scored at home, last 5 there | — | 1.0 |
| Conceded at home, last 5 there | — | 2.0 |
| Scored away, last 5 there | 1.8 | — |
| Conceded away, last 5 there | 1.6 | — |
Attack — how chances are created | ||
| Shots, last 5 | 22.2 | 13.0 |
| Shots on target, last 5 | 6.6 | 5.2 |
| Shots per possession | 0.425 | 0.309 |
| On-target shots per possession | 0.139 | 0.135 |
| Inside-box shots per possession | 0.268 | 0.218 |
| Share of shots from inside the box | 62.9% | 67.8% |
| Expected goals, last 5 | 1.79 | 1.38 |
| Possession, last 5 | 47.2% | 40.4% |
| Corners, last 5 | 6.8 | 5.2 |
Defence — what they allow | ||
| Shots allowed per possession | 0.331 | 0.233 |
| On-target allowed per possession | 0.105 | 0.095 |
| Inside-box allowed per possession | 0.227 | 0.162 |
| Opponents' inside-box share | 68.6% | 71.6% |
| Save rate | 69.3% | 67.6% |
| Saves, last 5 | 4.6 | 2.8 |
| Expected goals conceded, last 5 | 2.61 | 1.60 |
On the ball and discipline | ||
| Pass accuracy | 75.5% | 77.5% |
| Passes, last 5 | 348 | 326 |
| Fouls, last 5 | 12.6 | 13.4 |
| Cards, last 5 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Previous meetings | ||
| Meetings on record | 2 | |
| Home side won | 0 | |
| Drawn | 1 | |
| Away side won | 1 | |
| Goals, home side | 2 | |
| Goals, away side | 3 | |
| What the model saw | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
Where they stand | ||
| League position | 18 | 11 |
| Position last season | 13 | 7 |
| Points this season | 4 | 10 |
| Goal difference this season | -10 | -1 |
| Elo rating going in | 1,591 | 1,677 |
| Matches on record, all seasons | 616 | 578 |
Recent form | ||
| Points, last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored, last 5 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded, last 5 | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| Goals scored, last 10 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded, last 10 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets, last 10 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score, last 10 | 2 | 2 |
| Wins in a row | 0 | 0 |
| Unbeaten run | 0 | 1 |
| Losses in a row | 3 | 0 |
| Days since last match | 4 | 4 |
Home and away separately | ||
| Scored at home, last 5 there | — | 2.2 |
| Conceded at home, last 5 there | — | 1.6 |
| Scored away, last 5 there | 1.6 | — |
| Conceded away, last 5 there | 2.0 | — |
Attack — how chances are created | ||
| Shots, last 5 | 15.0 | 17.8 |
| Shots on target, last 5 | 5.2 | 6.0 |
| Shots per possession | 0.324 | 0.309 |
| On-target shots per possession | 0.113 | 0.105 |
| Inside-box shots per possession | 0.196 | 0.208 |
| Share of shots from inside the box | 58.4% | 66.1% |
| Expected goals, last 5 | 1.57 | 1.95 |
| Possession, last 5 | 45.0% | 47.2% |
| Corners, last 5 | 4.8 | 5.2 |
Defence — what they allow | ||
| Shots allowed per possession | 0.298 | 0.316 |
| On-target allowed per possession | 0.118 | 0.116 |
| Inside-box allowed per possession | 0.213 | 0.203 |
| Opponents' inside-box share | 70.4% | 64.2% |
| Save rate | 70.2% | 72.1% |
| Saves, last 5 | 4.4 | 3.6 |
| Expected goals conceded, last 5 | 1.67 | 1.85 |
On the ball and discipline | ||
| Pass accuracy | 82.0% | 91.0% |
| Passes, last 5 | 399 | 456 |
| Fouls, last 5 | 10.6 | 10.0 |
| Cards, last 5 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
Previous meetings | ||
| Meetings on record | 30 | |
| Home side won | 14 | |
| Drawn | 8 | |
| Away side won | 8 | |
| Goals, home side | 46 | |
| Goals, away side | 37 | |