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The data behind the ratings

Sunday 27 September 2026 · everything below is a stored value, as it was that morning

Valladolid v Cordoba

laliga-2 · 12:00 UK
Finished 3–1. Everything below is what was known that morning, before the match.
What the model sawHomeAway
Where they stand
League position1816
Position last season1610
Points this season56
Goal difference this season-5-4
Elo rating going in1,3791,440
Matches on record, all seasons486254
Recent form
Points, last 556
Goals scored, last 50.61.4
Goals conceded, last 51.22.0
Goals scored, last 100.61.2
Goals conceded, last 101.51.8
Clean sheets, last 1021
Failed to score, last 1052
Wins in a row01
Unbeaten run11
Losses in a row00
Days since last match79
Home and away separately
Scored at home, last 5 there——
Conceded at home, last 5 there——
Scored away, last 5 there0.41.6
Conceded away, last 5 there1.22.0
Attack — how chances are created
Shots, last 511.415.0
Shots on target, last 54.03.8
Shots per possession0.2080.314
On-target shots per possession0.0630.084
Inside-box shots per possession0.1200.211
Share of shots from inside the box59.2%67.4%
Expected goals, last 5——
Possession, last 551.8%55.0%
Corners, last 53.65.0
Defence — what they allow
Shots allowed per possession0.2550.296
On-target allowed per possession0.0970.103
Inside-box allowed per possession0.1650.184
Opponents' inside-box share65.5%59.3%
Save rate67.7%58.5%
Saves, last 52.62.4
Expected goals conceded, last 5——
On the ball and discipline
Pass accuracy84.0%80.5%
Passes, last 5444411
Fouls, last 513.217.4
Cards, last 53.43.6
Previous meetings
Meetings on record6
Home side won2
Drawn2
Away side won2
Goals, home side9
Goals, away side8
The bookmakers' price is shown for comparison and is not something the model sees. It is deliberately kept out of training so "does the model beat the market" stays an answerable question. Home 39.8% · Draw 28.1% · Away 32.0% — pinnacle, pre_match.

Mallorca v Almeria

laliga-2 · 14:15 UK
Finished 0–1. Everything below is what was known that morning, before the match.
What the model sawHomeAway
Where they stand
League position14
Position last season173
Points this season1312
Goal difference this season+6+6
Elo rating going in1,5761,526
Matches on record, all seasons476542
Recent form
Points, last 5109
Goals scored, last 51.21.4
Goals conceded, last 50.40.8
Goals scored, last 101.31.5
Goals conceded, last 100.80.9
Clean sheets, last 1064
Failed to score, last 1033
Wins in a row23
Unbeaten run43
Losses in a row00
Days since last match87
Home and away separately
Scored at home, last 5 there—2.4
Conceded at home, last 5 there—1.2
Scored away, last 5 there0.4—
Conceded away, last 5 there1.4—
Attack — how chances are created
Shots, last 512.811.0
Shots on target, last 54.23.6
Shots per possession0.2400.214
On-target shots per possession0.0840.074
Inside-box shots per possession0.1390.148
Share of shots from inside the box59.5%66.8%
Expected goals, last 5——
Possession, last 552.8%53.2%
Corners, last 53.63.0
Defence — what they allow
Shots allowed per possession0.2370.253
On-target allowed per possession0.0600.062
Inside-box allowed per possession0.1430.176
Opponents' inside-box share56.5%72.0%
Save rate72.6%71.9%
Saves, last 53.01.8
Expected goals conceded, last 5——
On the ball and discipline
Pass accuracy89.0%81.5%
Passes, last 5469460
Fouls, last 512.212.4
Cards, last 52.61.8
Previous meetings
Meetings on record12
Home side won6
Drawn2
Away side won4
Goals, home side14
Goals, away side13
The bookmakers' price is shown for comparison and is not something the model sees. It is deliberately kept out of training so "does the model beat the market" stays an answerable question. Home 45.6% · Draw 29.8% · Away 24.6% — pinnacle, pre_match.

Burgos v Eldense

laliga-2 · 16:30 UK
Finished 1–0. Everything below is what was known that morning, before the match.
What the model sawHomeAway
Where they stand
League position517
Position last season7—
Points this season115
Goal difference this season+3-4
Elo rating going in1,5341,393
Matches on record, all seasons21690
Recent form
Points, last 585
Goals scored, last 51.40.8
Goals conceded, last 51.01.0
Goals scored, last 101.41.1
Goals conceded, last 100.71.5
Clean sheets, last 1053
Failed to score, last 1033
Wins in a row20
Unbeaten run40
Losses in a row01
Days since last match78
Home and away separately
Scored at home, last 5 there—1.4
Conceded at home, last 5 there—1.4
Scored away, last 5 there1.0—
Conceded away, last 5 there0.4—
Attack — how chances are created
Shots, last 510.211.8
Shots on target, last 52.43.4
Shots per possession0.2570.273
On-target shots per possession0.0820.089
Inside-box shots per possession0.1780.160
Share of shots from inside the box66.1%56.6%
Expected goals, last 5——
Possession, last 550.8%50.4%
Corners, last 54.26.0
Defence — what they allow
Shots allowed per possession0.2840.197
On-target allowed per possession0.0720.084
Inside-box allowed per possession0.1640.142
Opponents' inside-box share55.2%73.8%
Save rate75.3%70.7%
Saves, last 52.63.2
Expected goals conceded, last 5——
On the ball and discipline
Pass accuracy81.5%82.0%
Passes, last 5450399
Fouls, last 518.69.8
Cards, last 52.61.2
Previous meetings
Meetings on record4
Home side won1
Drawn1
Away side won2
Goals, home side2
Goals, away side4
The bookmakers' price is shown for comparison and is not something the model sees. It is deliberately kept out of training so "does the model beat the market" stays an answerable question. Home 48.8% · Draw 28.7% · Away 22.5% — pinnacle, pre_match.

Eibar v Las Palmas

laliga-2 · 16:30 UK
Finished 3–2. Everything below is what was known that morning, before the match.
What the model sawHomeAway
Where they stand
League position29
Position last season85
Points this season1510
Goal difference this season+8+0
Elo rating going in1,5371,525
Matches on record, all seasons488452
Recent form
Points, last 5157
Goals scored, last 52.21.2
Goals conceded, last 50.21.4
Goals scored, last 101.71.2
Goals conceded, last 100.81.2
Clean sheets, last 1063
Failed to score, last 1002
Wins in a row50
Unbeaten run50
Losses in a row01
Days since last match87
Home and away separately
Scored at home, last 5 there—0.8
Conceded at home, last 5 there—1.0
Scored away, last 5 there1.8—
Conceded away, last 5 there1.0—
Attack — how chances are created
Shots, last 59.410.0
Shots on target, last 54.63.6
Shots per possession0.2550.190
On-target shots per possession0.0940.063
Inside-box shots per possession0.1500.113
Share of shots from inside the box58.2%58.3%
Expected goals, last 5——
Possession, last 533.8%52.4%
Corners, last 52.25.2
Defence — what they allow
Shots allowed per possession0.3000.255
On-target allowed per possession0.0870.085
Inside-box allowed per possession0.1360.179
Opponents' inside-box share47.6%70.6%
Save rate79.5%66.1%
Saves, last 55.22.4
Expected goals conceded, last 5——
On the ball and discipline
Pass accuracy74.0%87.0%
Passes, last 5317454
Fouls, last 510.613.2
Cards, last 53.21.6
Previous meetings
Meetings on record12
Home side won6
Drawn2
Away side won4
Goals, home side16
Goals, away side12
The bookmakers' price is shown for comparison and is not something the model sees. It is deliberately kept out of training so "does the model beat the market" stays an answerable question. Home 50.1% · Draw 28.6% · Away 21.3% — pinnacle, pre_match.

Oviedo v Sporting Gijon

laliga-2 · 19:00 UK
Finished 2–0. Everything below is what was known that morning, before the match.
What the model sawHomeAway
Where they stand
League position115
Position last season209
Points this season810
Goal difference this season+1+1
Elo rating going in1,5011,464
Matches on record, all seasons430540
Recent form
Points, last 579
Goals scored, last 51.01.0
Goals conceded, last 50.80.8
Goals scored, last 100.51.4
Goals conceded, last 101.00.9
Clean sheets, last 1053
Failed to score, last 1073
Wins in a row01
Unbeaten run01
Losses in a row10
Days since last match78
Home and away separately
Scored at home, last 5 there——
Conceded at home, last 5 there——
Scored away, last 5 there1.02.0
Conceded away, last 5 there1.61.0
Attack — how chances are created
Shots, last 515.010.8
Shots on target, last 54.03.6
Shots per possession0.2430.213
On-target shots per possession0.0610.095
Inside-box shots per possession0.1530.153
Share of shots from inside the box60.0%68.1%
Expected goals, last 5——
Possession, last 548.6%49.6%
Corners, last 55.43.4
Defence — what they allow
Shots allowed per possession0.2740.246
On-target allowed per possession0.0720.063
Inside-box allowed per possession0.1640.145
Opponents' inside-box share59.4%56.7%
Save rate70.9%72.1%
Saves, last 52.02.0
Expected goals conceded, last 5——
On the ball and discipline
Pass accuracy80.0%81.5%
Passes, last 5407438
Fouls, last 511.410.6
Cards, last 52.82.2
Previous meetings
Meetings on record16
Home side won7
Drawn6
Away side won3
Goals, home side14
Goals, away side11
The bookmakers' price is shown for comparison and is not something the model sees. It is deliberately kept out of training so "does the model beat the market" stays an answerable question. Home 46.7% · Draw 30.2% · Away 23.1% — pinnacle, pre_match.